Ashe Bowman vs Taisei Mizusugi
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-11-0Record6-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Lion's DenTeamblooM
What's at stake
Taisei Mizusugi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Ashe Bowman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1457
If they lose-15→ 1425
If they win+15→ 1485
If they lose-17→ 1453
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ashe BowmanTaisei Mizusugi
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Taisei Mizusugi78%
Ashe Bowman 22%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Taisei Mizusugi a 78% favorite over Ashe Bowman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Taisei Mizusugi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1470 to 1440, a 30-point edge.
Ashe Bowman enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Ashe Bowman finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Taisei Mizusugi 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.