Ashkan Mokhtarian vs Pedro Nobre
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-4-0Record22-7-2
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'5"
38,0"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Australian Top TeamTeamBrazilian Top Team· 1657 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1592
If they lose-16→ 1560
If they win+12→ 1585
If they lose-12→ 1561
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1523 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ashkan MokhtarianPedro Nobre
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ashkan Mokhtarian57%
Pedro Nobre 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ashkan Mokhtarian a 57% favorite over Pedro Nobre in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1576 vs 1573), separated by just 3 points.
Ashkan Mokhtarian enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Pedro Nobre enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ashkan Mokhtarian finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Pedro Nobre 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.