AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Ashlee Evans-Smith vs Małgorzata Popowicz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

6-6-0Record1-0-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'6"
67,5"Reach-
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Reign MMATeamStrefa Walk Lubin

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ashlee Evans-SmithNow 1522
If they win+16→ 1538
If they lose-16→ 1506
Małgorzata PopowiczNow 1530
If they win+23→ 1553
If they lose-25→ 1505

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.03
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
34%
Strike accuracy
Not available
4.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
54%
Strike defense
Not available
0.95
Takedown avg.
Not available
23%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
50%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Ashlee Evans-SmithMałgorzata Popowicz
1550202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (100%)
3 (50%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Małgorzata Popowicz52%
Ashlee Evans-Smith 48%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Małgorzata Popowicz a 52% favorite over Ashlee Evans-Smith in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1522 vs 1530), separated by just 8 points.

Ashlee Evans-Smith enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ashlee Evans-Smith finishes 50% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.