Ashlee Evans-Smith vs Marilia Morais
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-6-0Record3-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
67,5"ReachN/A
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Reign MMATeamRasthai Temple
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1538
If they lose-16→ 1506
If they win+24→ 1546
If they lose-24→ 1498
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ashlee Evans-SmithMarilia Morais
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marilia Morais52%
Ashlee Evans-Smith 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Marilia Morais a 52% favorite over Ashlee Evans-Smith in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ashlee Evans-Smith's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1522 vs 1522), separated by just 0 points.
Ashlee Evans-Smith enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Marilia Morais enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ashlee Evans-Smith finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Marilia Morais 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.