Combat Edge Intelligence

Ashlee Evans-Smith vs Priscila Cachoeira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-6-0Record13-9-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
67,5"Reach65"
135 lbsWeight134 lbs
Reign MMATeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

Priscila Cachoeira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Ashlee Evans-Smith carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ashlee Evans-SmithNow 1522
If they win+17→ 1539
If they lose-15→ 1507
Priscila CachoeiraNow 1544
If they win+15→ 1559
If they lose-17→ 1527

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.03
Sig. strikes / min
4.43
34%
Strike accuracy
44%
4.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.60
54%
Strike defense
46%
0.95
Takedown avg.
0.25
23%
Takedown accuracy
40%
50%
Takedown defense
70%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ashlee Evans-SmithPriscila Cachoeira
15501600202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
8 (62%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (50%)
Decision
5 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Priscila Cachoeira60%
Ashlee Evans-Smith 40%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Priscila Cachoeira a 60% favorite over Ashlee Evans-Smith in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Priscila Cachoeira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1544 to 1522, a 22-point edge.

Ashlee Evans-Smith enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Priscila Cachoeira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ashlee Evans-Smith finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Priscila Cachoeira 62%.

Ashlee Evans-Smith carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.