Ashlee Evans-Smith vs Raquel Pennington
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-6-0Record16-9-0
BantamweightDivisionWomen's Bantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
67,5"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Reign MMATeamAltitude MMA
What's at stake
Raquel Pennington is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Ashlee Evans-Smith carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1545
If they lose-9→ 1513
If they win+9→ 1684
If they lose-23→ 1652
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1641 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ashlee Evans-SmithRaquel Pennington
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Raquel Pennington66%
Ashlee Evans-Smith 34%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes Raquel Pennington a 66% favorite over Ashlee Evans-Smith in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
Raquel Pennington holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1675 to 1522, a 153-point edge.
Ashlee Evans-Smith enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ashlee Evans-Smith finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Raquel Pennington 31%.
Ashlee Evans-Smith and Raquel Pennington share 2 common opponents: Ketlen Vieira and Marion Reneau.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.