Ashlee Evans-Smith vs Sanaa Mandar
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-6-0Record3-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'3"
67,5"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Reign MMATeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1538
If they lose-16→ 1506
If they win+24→ 1553
If they lose-24→ 1505
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ashlee Evans-SmithSanaa Mandar
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ashlee Evans-Smith58%
Sanaa Mandar 42%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Ashlee Evans-Smith a 58% favorite over Sanaa Mandar in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Sanaa Mandar's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1522 vs 1529), separated by just 7 points.
Ashlee Evans-Smith enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ashlee Evans-Smith finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Sanaa Mandar 33%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.