Ashlee Evans-Smith vs Sarah Moras
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-6-0Record6-7-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
67,5"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Reign MMATeamToshido Mixed Martial Arts
What's at stake
Ashlee Evans-Smith is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Sarah Moras carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1537
If they lose-17→ 1505
If they win+17→ 1523
If they lose-15→ 1491
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ashlee Evans-SmithSarah Moras
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Ashlee Evans-Smith and Sarah Moras within a point of even.
Ashlee Evans-Smith holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1522 to 1506, a 16-point edge.
Ashlee Evans-Smith enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Sarah Moras enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ashlee Evans-Smith finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Sarah Moras 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.