Ashley Barrett vs Karli Jo Patton
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-3-0Record3-1-0
StrawweightDivisionBantamweight
5'2"Height5'2"
62"Reach-
116 lbsWeight135 lbs
What's at stake
Karli Jo Patton is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Ashley Barrett carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+27→ 1530
If they lose-21→ 1482
If they win+21→ 1563
If they lose-27→ 1515
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1509 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ashley BarrettKarli Jo Patton
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Karli Jo Patton52%
Ashley Barrett 48%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Karli Jo Patton a 52% favorite over Ashley Barrett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Karli Jo Patton holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1542 to 1503, a 39-point edge.
Ashley Barrett enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ashley Barrett finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Karli Jo Patton 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.