Combat Edge Intelligence

Ashley Reece vs Hernani Perpetuo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ashley Reece

Ashley Reece

“The Beast”

10-3-0WelterweightPFL

1612Solid

Tale of the tape

10-3-0Record21-9-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
69"ReachTBD
168 lbsWeight170 lbs
HAMMATeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ashley ReeceNow 1612
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596
Hernani PerpetuoNow 1613
If they win+12→ 1625
If they lose-12→ 1601

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1534 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.73
TBD
Strike accuracy
29%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.37
TBD
Strike defense
55%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
38%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.50

Trajectory

Ashley ReeceHernani Perpetuo
1600202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (40%)
KO/TKO
10 (48%)
1 (10%)
Submission
5 (24%)
5 (50%)
Decision
6 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Ashley Reece66%
Hernani Perpetuo 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ashley Reece a 66% favorite over Hernani Perpetuo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Hernani Perpetuo's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1613), separated by just 1 points.

Ashley Reece finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Hernani Perpetuo 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.