Ashley Reece vs James Llontop
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-3-0Record19-9-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'0"
69"Reach73″
168 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598
If they win+12→ 1624
If they lose-12→ 1600
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ashley ReeceJames Llontop
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
James Llontop60%
Ashley Reece 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes James Llontop a 60% favorite over Ashley Reece in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ashley Reece's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1614 vs 1612), separated by just 2 points.
Ashley Reece finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, James Llontop 63%.
James Llontop carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.