Ashley Reece vs Jason Tan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-3-0Record5-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
69"ReachTBD
168 lbsWeight170 lbs
HAMMATeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598
If they win+24→ 1639
If they lose-24→ 1591
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1539 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ashley ReeceJason Tan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ashley Reece52%
Jason Tan 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ashley Reece a 52% favorite over Jason Tan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jason Tan's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1614 vs 1615), separated by just 1 points.
Ashley Reece finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Jason Tan 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.