Combat Edge Intelligence

Ashley Reece vs Jason Tan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ashley Reece

Ashley Reece

“The Beast”

10-3-0WelterweightPFL

1612Solid

Tale of the tape

10-3-0Record5-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
69"ReachTBD
168 lbsWeight170 lbs
HAMMATeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ashley ReeceNow 1612
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596
Jason TanNow 1615
If they win+24→ 1639
If they lose-24→ 1591

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1534 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1539 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.69
TBD
Strike accuracy
30%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.37
TBD
Strike defense
19%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ashley ReeceJason Tan
15501600200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (40%)
KO/TKO
1 (20%)
1 (10%)
Submission
2 (40%)
5 (50%)
Decision
2 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Ashley Reece53%
Jason Tan 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ashley Reece a 53% favorite over Jason Tan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jason Tan's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1615), separated by just 3 points.

Ashley Reece finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Jason Tan 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.