Ashley Reece vs Kiichi Kunimoto
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-3-0Record20-10-2
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
69"Reach71,0"
168 lbsWeight169 lbs
HAMMATeamCobra Kai MMA Dojo
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596
If they win+12→ 1626
If they lose-12→ 1602
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1534 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ashley ReeceKiichi Kunimoto
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ashley Reece66%
Kiichi Kunimoto 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ashley Reece a 66% favorite over Kiichi Kunimoto in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kiichi Kunimoto's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1614), separated by just 2 points.
Kiichi Kunimoto enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ashley Reece finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Kiichi Kunimoto 63%.
Kiichi Kunimoto carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.