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Combat Edge Intelligence

Ashley Reece vs Kiichi Kunimoto

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ashley Reece
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Ashley Reece

“The Beast”

10-3-0WelterweightPFL

1614Solid

Tale of the tape

10-3-0Record20-10-2
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
69"Reach71,0"
168 lbsWeight169 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ashley ReeceNow 1614
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598
Kiichi KunimotoNow 1614
If they win+12→ 1626
If they lose-12→ 1602

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
1.87
Not available
Strike accuracy
44%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.92
Not available
Strike defense
41%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.59
Not available
Takedown accuracy
20%
Not available
Takedown defense
29%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.32

Trajectory

Ashley ReeceKiichi Kunimoto
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (40%)
KO/TKO
2 (11%)
1 (10%)
Submission
10 (53%)
5 (50%)
Decision
7 (37%)

Combat Edge model read

Kiichi Kunimoto53%
Ashley Reece 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kiichi Kunimoto a 53% favorite over Ashley Reece in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ashley Reece's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1614 vs 1614), separated by just 0 points.

Kiichi Kunimoto enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ashley Reece finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Kiichi Kunimoto 63%.

Kiichi Kunimoto carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.