Combat Edge Intelligence

Ashley Reece vs Wellington Turman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ashley Reece
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Ashley Reece

“The Beast”

10-3-0WelterweightPFL

1612Solid

Tale of the tape

10-3-0Record18-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
69"Reach 72"
168 lbsWeight170 lbs
HAMMATeamTeixeira MMA & Fitness· 1664 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ashley ReeceNow 1612
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596
Wellington TurmanNow 1615
If they win+12→ 1627
If they lose-12→ 1603

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1534 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1671 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.23
TBD
Strike accuracy
51%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.17
TBD
Strike defense
45%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.55
TBD
Takedown accuracy
8%
TBD
Takedown defense
43%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.78

Trajectory

Ashley ReeceWellington Turman
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (40%)
KO/TKO
4 (22%)
1 (10%)
Submission
8 (44%)
5 (50%)
Decision
6 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Ashley Reece60%
Wellington Turman 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ashley Reece a 60% favorite over Wellington Turman in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Wellington Turman's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1615), separated by just 3 points.

Wellington Turman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ashley Reece finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Wellington Turman 67%.

Wellington Turman carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.