Combat Edge Intelligence

Ashley Thiner vs Aysia Cortez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-0-0Record3-1-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'4"
66" ReachN/A
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Three Kings Muay ThaiTeamCortez Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ashley ThinerNow 1555
If they win+24→ 1579
If they lose-24→ 1531
Aysia CortezNow 1548
If they win+24→ 1572
If they lose-24→ 1524

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ashley ThinerAysia Cortez
1500155020252026

Win method breakdown

2 (100%)
KO/TKO
1 (33%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Ashley Thiner and Aysia Cortez within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1555 vs 1548), separated by just 7 points.

Ashley Thiner enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Aysia Cortez enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Aysia Cortez 33%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.