Ashley Yoder vs Gloria de Paula
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-9-0Record6-7-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'7"Height5'5"
TBDReach67"
116 lbsWeight116 lbs
Team QuestTeamFabiana Belai Academia
What's at stake
Ashley Yoder is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Gloria de Paula carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1551
If they lose-18→ 1519
If they win+18→ 1512
If they lose-14→ 1480
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ashley YoderGloria de Paula
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Ashley Yoder and Gloria de Paula within a point of even.
Ashley Yoder holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1537 to 1494, a 43-point edge.
Gloria de Paula enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ashley Yoder finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Gloria de Paula 50%.
Ashley Yoder and Gloria de Paula share 1 common opponent: Jinh Yu Frey.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.