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Combat Edge Intelligence

Ashley Yoder vs Isabela de Padua

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ashley Yoder
us

Ashley Yoder

“The Spider Monkey”

8-9-0StrawweightUFC

1527Average

Tale of the tape

8-9-0Record7-5-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'7"Height5'4"
TBDReach36,0"
116 lbsWeight115 lbs
Team QuestTeamTeam Nikolai MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ashley YoderNow 1527
If they win+16→ 1543
If they lose-16→ 1511
Isabela de PaduaNow 1531
If they win+16→ 1547
If they lose-16→ 1515

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1582 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.42
Sig. strikes / min
1
39%
Strike accuracy
36%
4.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.07
47%
Strike defense
51%
1.09
Takedown avg.
2
28%
Takedown accuracy
67%
67%
Takedown defense
0%
0.55
Submission avg.
1

Trajectory

Ashley YoderIsabela de Padua
1550202320242025

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
2 (29%)
4 (50%)
Submission
3 (43%)
4 (50%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Ashley Yoder51%
Isabela de Padua 49%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Ashley Yoder a 51% favorite over Isabela de Padua in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Isabela de Padua's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1527 vs 1531), separated by just 4 points.

Isabela de Padua enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ashley Yoder finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Isabela de Padua 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.