Ashley Yoder vs Jinh Yu Frey
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-9-0Record11-10-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'7"Height5'2"
TBDReach65"
116 lbsWeight115 lbs
Team QuestTeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
Ashley Yoder is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Jinh Yu Frey carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1552
If they lose-17→ 1520
If they win+17→ 1536
If they lose-15→ 1504
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ashley YoderJinh Yu Frey
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jinh Yu Frey52%
Ashley Yoder 48%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Jinh Yu Frey a 52% favorite over Ashley Yoder in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ashley Yoder's way (47%).
Ashley Yoder holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1537 to 1519, a 18-point edge.
Jinh Yu Frey enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Ashley Yoder finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Jinh Yu Frey 27%.
Ashley Yoder and Jinh Yu Frey share 1 common opponent: Gloria de Paula.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.