Ashley Yoder vs Justine Kish
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-9-0Record9-6-0
StrawweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'5"
TBDReachTBD
116 lbsWeight125 lbs
What's at stake
Justine Kish is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Ashley Yoder carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1545
If they lose-14→ 1513
If they win+14→ 1582
If they lose-18→ 1550
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1582 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ashley YoderJustine Kish
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Justine Kish62%
Ashley Yoder 38%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Justine Kish a 62% favorite over Ashley Yoder in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Justine Kish holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1568 to 1527, a 41-point edge.
Ashley Yoder finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Justine Kish 22%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.