Combat Edge Intelligence

Ashley Yoder vs Justine Kish

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ashley Yoder
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Ashley Yoder

“The Spider Monkey”

8-9-0StrawweightUFC

1537Average

Tale of the tape

8-9-0Record9-6-0
StrawweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'5"
TBDReachTBD
116 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team QuestTeamBlack House

What's at stake

Justine Kish is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Ashley Yoder carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ashley YoderNow 1537
If they win+17→ 1554
If they lose-15→ 1522
Justine KishNow 1569
If they win+15→ 1584
If they lose-17→ 1552

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.42
Sig. strikes / min
4.51
39%
Strike accuracy
48%
4.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.59
47%
Strike defense
58%
1.09
Takedown avg.
0.87
28%
Takedown accuracy
33%
67%
Takedown defense
50%
0.55
Submission avg.
0.14

Trajectory

Ashley YoderJustine Kish
155016002021202220232024

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
4 (50%)
Submission
2 (22%)
4 (50%)
Decision
7 (78%)

Combat Edge model read

Justine Kish70%
Ashley Yoder 30%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Justine Kish a 70% favorite over Ashley Yoder in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Justine Kish holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1569 to 1537, a 32-point edge.

Ashley Yoder finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Justine Kish 22%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.