Ashley Yoder vs Lisa Ellis
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-9-0Record15-11-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'7"Height5'4"
TBDReachTBD
116 lbsWeight110 lbs
Team QuestTeamUnited Training Center
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1553
If they lose-16→ 1521
If they win+12→ 1543
If they lose-12→ 1519
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ashley YoderLisa Ellis
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ashley Yoder52%
Lisa Ellis 48%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Ashley Yoder a 52% favorite over Lisa Ellis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1537 vs 1531), separated by just 6 points.
Lisa Ellis enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ashley Yoder finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Lisa Ellis 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.