Ashok Bagade vs Yuto Shioya
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-1-0Record7-2-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
TBDHeightTBD
-Reach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
What's at stake
Yuto Shioya is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Ashok Bagade carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+27→ 1605
If they lose-21→ 1557
If they win+21→ 1649
If they lose-27→ 1601
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1521 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ashok BagadeYuto Shioya
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yuto Shioya70%
Ashok Bagade 30%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Yuto Shioya a 70% favorite over Ashok Bagade in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Yuto Shioya holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1628 to 1578, a 50-point edge.
Yuto Shioya enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Ashok Bagade finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Yuto Shioya 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.