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Combat Edge Intelligence

Askar Askarov vs Brandon Moreno

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

15-1-1Record24-10-2
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'7"
67"Reach70"
131 lbsWeight125 lbs
Fighting EagleTeamFortis MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Askar AskarovNow 1756
If they win+16→ 1772
If they lose-16→ 1740
Brandon MorenoNow 1757
If they win+12→ 1769
If they lose-12→ 1745

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1628 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1732 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.05
Sig. strikes / min
3.84
54%
Strike accuracy
44%
2.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.64
58%
Strike defense
60%
2.60
Takedown avg.
1.36
25%
Takedown accuracy
15%
67%
Takedown defense
65%
0.40
Submission avg.
0.40

Trajectory

Askar AskarovBrandon Moreno
175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
5 (21%)
7 (47%)
Submission
11 (46%)
4 (27%)
Decision
8 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Brandon Moreno70%
Askar Askarov 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Brandon Moreno a 70% favorite over Askar Askarov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1756 vs 1757), separated by just 1 points.

Askar Askarov enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Askar Askarov finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Brandon Moreno 67%.

Askar Askarov and Brandon Moreno share 2 common opponents: Kai Kara-France and Alexandre Pantoja.

Brandon Moreno carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

WinDecision (unanimous) · 2020
Alexandre Pantoja
LossDecision - Split · 2023
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2022
Kai Kara-France
WinTKO · 2022