Askar Askarov vs Brandon Moreno
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-1-1Record23-10-2
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'7"
67"Reach70"
131 lbsWeight125 lbs
Fighting EagleTeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1760
If they lose-16→ 1728
If they win+12→ 1760
If they lose-12→ 1736
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1625 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1741 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Askar AskarovBrandon Moreno
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brandon Moreno60%
Askar Askarov 40%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Brandon Moreno a 60% favorite over Askar Askarov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1744 vs 1748), separated by just 4 points.
Brandon Moreno enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Askar Askarov finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Brandon Moreno 70%.
Askar Askarov and Brandon Moreno share 2 common opponents: Kai Kara-France and Alexandre Pantoja.
Brandon Moreno carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.