Askar Askarov vs Joseph Benavidez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-1-1Record28-8-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'4"
67"ReachTBD
131 lbsWeight125 lbs
Fighting EagleTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Joseph Benavidez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Askar Askarov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1762
If they lose-14→ 1730
If they win+11→ 1794
If they lose-13→ 1770
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1625 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1718 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Askar AskarovJoseph Benavidez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Askar Askarov66%
Joseph Benavidez 34%Elo baseline: 44%
The Combat Edge model makes Askar Askarov a 66% favorite over Joseph Benavidez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joseph Benavidez's way (44%).
Joseph Benavidez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1783 to 1744, a 39-point edge.
Joseph Benavidez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Askar Askarov finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Joseph Benavidez 61%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.