Askar Askarov vs Kai Kara-France
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-1-1Record25-12-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'5"
67"Reach69″
131 lbsWeight125 lbs
Fighting EagleTeamCity Kickboxing
What's at stake
Askar Askarov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Kai Kara-France carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1757
If they lose-19→ 1725
If they win+14→ 1693
If they lose-10→ 1669
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1625 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1711 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Askar AskarovKai Kara-France
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Askar Askarov70%
Kai Kara-France 30%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Askar Askarov a 70% favorite over Kai Kara-France in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Askar Askarov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1744 to 1679, a 65-point edge.
Askar Askarov finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Kai Kara-France 60%.
Askar Askarov and Kai Kara-France share 2 common opponents: Alexandre Pantoja and Brandon Moreno.
Kai Kara-France carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.