Combat Edge Intelligence

Askar Askarov vs Sergio Pettis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-1-1Record25-8-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'6"
67"Reach69"
131 lbsWeight134 lbs
Fighting EagleTeamRoufusport

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Askar AskarovNow 1744
If they win+16→ 1760
If they lose-16→ 1728
Sergio PettisNow 1752
If they win+12→ 1764
If they lose-12→ 1740

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1625 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1717 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.05
Sig. strikes / min
3.88
54%
Strike accuracy
37%
2.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.91
58%
Strike defense
65%
2.60
Takedown avg.
0.85
25%
Takedown accuracy
40%
67%
Takedown defense
68%
0.40
Submission avg.
0.36

Trajectory

Askar AskarovSergio Pettis
175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
5 (20%)
7 (47%)
Submission
4 (16%)
4 (27%)
Decision
16 (64%)

Combat Edge model read

Sergio Pettis60%
Askar Askarov 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Sergio Pettis a 60% favorite over Askar Askarov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1744 vs 1752), separated by just 8 points.

Askar Askarov finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Sergio Pettis 36%.

Sergio Pettis carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.