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Combat Edge Intelligence

Askar Mozharov vs Jackson Soares

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Askar Mozharov
ua

Askar Mozharov

“Black Jaguar”

15-14-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1496Average

Tale of the tape

15-14-0Record5-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height5'11"
74"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Askar MozharovNow 1496
If they win+12→ 1508
If they lose-12→ 1484
Jackson SoaresNow 1500
If they win+24→ 1524
If they lose-24→ 1476

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1509 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

0.43
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
18%
Strike accuracy
Not available
4.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
14%
Strike defense
Not available
0
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
33%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Askar MozharovJackson Soares
145015002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (67%)
KO/TKO
4 (80%)
4 (27%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (7%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Jackson Soares53%
Askar Mozharov 47%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Jackson Soares a 53% favorite over Askar Mozharov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1496 vs 1500), separated by just 4 points.

Jackson Soares enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Askar Mozharov finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Jackson Soares 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.