Askar Mozharov vs Karl Albrektsson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-14-0Record14-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
74"Reach75.50"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1509
If they lose-12→ 1485
If they win+16→ 1513
If they lose-16→ 1481
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1503 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Askar MozharovKarl Albrektsson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Askar Mozharov53%
Karl Albrektsson 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Askar Mozharov a 53% favorite over Karl Albrektsson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1497 vs 1497), separated by just 0 points.
Karl Albrektsson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Askar Mozharov finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Karl Albrektsson 71%.
Karl Albrektsson carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.