Combat Edge Intelligence

Askar Mozharov vs Karl Albrektsson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Askar Mozharov
ua

Askar Mozharov

“Black Jaguar”

15-14-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1498Average

Tale of the tape

15-14-0Record14-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
74"Reach75.50"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
AKA ThailandTeamPancrase Gym Sweden

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Askar MozharovNow 1498
If they win+12→ 1510
If they lose-12→ 1486
Karl AlbrektssonNow 1509
If they win+23→ 1532
If they lose-25→ 1484

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1614 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.43
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
18%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
14%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
33%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Askar MozharovKarl Albrektsson
145015001550202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

10 (67%)
KO/TKO
7 (50%)
4 (27%)
Submission
3 (21%)
1 (7%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Askar Mozharov and Karl Albrektsson within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1498 vs 1509), separated by just 11 points.

Karl Albrektsson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Askar Mozharov finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Karl Albrektsson 71%.

Karl Albrektsson carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.