Combat Edge Intelligence

Aspen Ladd vs Raquel Pennington

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-5-0Record16-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionWomen's Bantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
66"Reach67"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
MMAGOLD Fight TeamTeamAltitude MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aspen LaddNow 1664
If they win+17→ 1681
If they lose-15→ 1649
Raquel PenningtonNow 1675
If they win+15→ 1690
If they lose-17→ 1658

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1606 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.78
Sig. strikes / min
4.10
47%
Strike accuracy
49%
4.65
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.32
47%
Strike defense
61%
1.56
Takedown avg.
0.83
47%
Takedown accuracy
28%
63%
Takedown defense
63%
0.59
Submission avg.
0.62

Trajectory

Aspen LaddRaquel Pennington
16501700202220232024

Win method breakdown

6 (50%)
KO/TKO
1 (6%)
2 (17%)
Submission
4 (25%)
4 (33%)
Decision
11 (69%)

Combat Edge model read

Aspen Ladd62%
Raquel Pennington 38%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Aspen Ladd a 62% favorite over Raquel Pennington in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Raquel Pennington's way (48%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1664 vs 1675), separated by just 11 points.

Aspen Ladd finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Raquel Pennington 31%.

Aspen Ladd and Raquel Pennington share 1 common opponent: Germaine de Randamie.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossTKO · 2019
Germaine de Randamie
LossDEC · 2018