Combat Edge Intelligence

Aspen Ladd vs Tonya Evinger

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

12-5-0Record19-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
66"Reach39,0"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
MMAGOLD Fight TeamTeamW4R Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aspen LaddNow 1664
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648
Tonya EvingerNow 1656
If they win+12→ 1668
If they lose-12→ 1644

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1606 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1615 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.78
Sig. strikes / min
1.16
47%
Strike accuracy
43%
4.65
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.02
47%
Strike defense
39%
1.56
Takedown avg.
0.93
47%
Takedown accuracy
30%
63%
Takedown defense
33%
0.59
Submission avg.
0.93

Trajectory

Aspen LaddTonya Evinger
165017002018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

6 (50%)
KO/TKO
8 (42%)
2 (17%)
Submission
7 (37%)
4 (33%)
Decision
4 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Aspen Ladd70%
Tonya Evinger 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Aspen Ladd a 70% favorite over Tonya Evinger in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1664 vs 1656), separated by just 8 points.

Tonya Evinger enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Aspen Ladd finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Tonya Evinger 79%.

Aspen Ladd and Tonya Evinger share 1 common opponent: Yana Santos.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinTKO · 2019
Yana Santos
Win Rear Naked Choke · 2017