Combat Edge Intelligence

Assem Ghanem vs Diego Brandao

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-0-0Record29-21-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'7"
70"Reach38,0"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
S&B AcademyTeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Assem GhanemNow 1616
If they win+24→ 1640
If they lose-24→ 1592
Diego BrandaoNow 1617
If they win+12→ 1629
If they lose-12→ 1605

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.94
TBD
Strike accuracy
48%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.38
TBD
Strike defense
62%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.21
TBD
Takedown accuracy
68%
TBD
Takedown defense
81%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.57

Trajectory

Assem GhanemDiego Brandao
15501600202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (29%)
KO/TKO
16 (55%)
2 (29%)
Submission
6 (21%)
3 (43%)
Decision
7 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Assem Ghanem59%
Diego Brandao 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Assem Ghanem a 59% favorite over Diego Brandao in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Diego Brandao's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1616 vs 1617), separated by just 1 points.

Assem Ghanem enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Diego Brandao enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Assem Ghanem finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Diego Brandao 76%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.