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Combat Edge Intelligence

Assem Ghanem vs Naoyuki Kotani

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

7-1-0Record37-19-7
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'8"
70"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
S&B AcademyTeamRodeo Style

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Assem GhanemNow 1594
If they win+24→ 1618
If they lose-24→ 1570
Naoyuki KotaniNow 1594
If they win+12→ 1606
If they lose-12→ 1582

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
1.02
Not available
Strike accuracy
31%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.89
Not available
Strike defense
50%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.83
Not available
Takedown accuracy
17%
Not available
Takedown defense
47%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.83

Trajectory

Assem GhanemNaoyuki Kotani
1600202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (29%)
KO/TKO
6 (16%)
2 (29%)
Submission
27 (73%)
3 (43%)
Decision
4 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Assem Ghanem71%
Naoyuki Kotani 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Assem Ghanem a 71% favorite over Naoyuki Kotani in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1594 vs 1594), separated by just 0 points.

Naoyuki Kotani enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Assem Ghanem finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Naoyuki Kotani 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.