Combat Edge Intelligence

Assem Ghanem vs Paul Capaldo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Paul Capaldo
us

Paul Capaldo

“Paulie C”

7-1-0FeatherweightCFFC

1615Solid

Tale of the tape

7-0-0Record7-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'8"
70"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
S&B AcademyTeamNick Catone MMA & Fitness

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Assem GhanemNow 1616
If they win+24→ 1640
If they lose-24→ 1592
Paul CapaldoNow 1615
If they win+24→ 1639
If they lose-24→ 1591

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1495 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Assem GhanemPaul Capaldo
1550160020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (29%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
2 (29%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (43%)
Decision
4 (57%)

Combat Edge model read

Assem Ghanem54%
Paul Capaldo 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Assem Ghanem a 54% favorite over Paul Capaldo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1616 vs 1615), separated by just 1 points.

Assem Ghanem enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Assem Ghanem finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Paul Capaldo 43%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.