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Combat Edge Intelligence

Astemir Nagoev vs Jin Soo Son

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record9-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'3"Height5'7"
-Reach69,0"
127 lbsWeight135 lbs
Best FightersTeamKorean Zombie MMA· 1567 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Astemir NagoevNow 1608
If they win+16→ 1624
If they lose-16→ 1592
Jin Soo SonNow 1607
If they win+16→ 1623
If they lose-16→ 1591

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
5.10
Not available
Strike accuracy
36%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.63
Not available
Strike defense
52%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.50
Not available
Takedown accuracy
25%
Not available
Takedown defense
100%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Astemir NagoevJin Soo Son
1550160016502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (13%)
KO/TKO
4 (44%)
3 (38%)
Submission
2 (22%)
4 (50%)
Decision
3 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Jin Soo Son59%
Astemir Nagoev 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jin Soo Son a 59% favorite over Astemir Nagoev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Astemir Nagoev's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1608 vs 1607), separated by just 1 points.

Astemir Nagoev enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jin Soo Son enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Astemir Nagoev finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Jin Soo Son 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.