Asu Almabayev vs Joseph Benavidez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-3-0Record28-8-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'4"
65"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
DAR Pro TeamTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1798
If they lose-12→ 1774
If they win+12→ 1795
If they lose-12→ 1771
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1647 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1718 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Asu AlmabayevJoseph Benavidez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Asu Almabayev76%
Joseph Benavidez 24%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Asu Almabayev a 76% favorite over Joseph Benavidez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1786 vs 1783), separated by just 3 points.
Asu Almabayev enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Joseph Benavidez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Asu Almabayev finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Joseph Benavidez 61%.
Asu Almabayev and Joseph Benavidez share 2 common opponents: Alex Perez and Zach Makovsky.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.