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Combat Edge Intelligence

Asylzhan Bakhytzhanuly vs Brendan Schaub

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

19-7-0Record10-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
TBDReachTBD
207 lbsWeight238 lbs
Alash PrideTeamReign MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Asylzhan BakhytzhanulyNow 1686
If they win+12→ 1698
If they lose-12→ 1674
Brendan SchaubNow 1681
If they win+16→ 1697
If they lose-16→ 1665

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1642 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1685 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.92
Not available
Strike accuracy
38%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.22
Not available
Strike defense
57%
Not available
Takedown avg.
2.32
Not available
Takedown accuracy
46%
Not available
Takedown defense
73%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.39

Trajectory

Asylzhan BakhytzhanulyBrendan Schaub
1650170020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (53%)
KO/TKO
7 (70%)
1 (5%)
Submission
1 (10%)
8 (42%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Asylzhan Bakhytzhanuly54%
Brendan Schaub 46%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Asylzhan Bakhytzhanuly a 54% favorite over Brendan Schaub in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1686 vs 1681), separated by just 5 points.

Asylzhan Bakhytzhanuly enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Brendan Schaub enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Asylzhan Bakhytzhanuly finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Brendan Schaub 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.