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Combat Edge Intelligence

Asylzhan Bakhytzhanuly vs Damian Grabowski

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

19-7-0Record22-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
TBDReach41,0"
207 lbsWeight261 lbs
Alash PrideTeamLutadores Opole

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Asylzhan BakhytzhanulyNow 1686
If they win+12→ 1698
If they lose-12→ 1674
Damian GrabowskiNow 1682
If they win+12→ 1694
If they lose-12→ 1670

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1642 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1569 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
4
Not available
Strike accuracy
36%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.65
Not available
Strike defense
51%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
0%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Asylzhan BakhytzhanulyDamian Grabowski
165017002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (53%)
KO/TKO
8 (36%)
1 (5%)
Submission
11 (50%)
8 (42%)
Decision
3 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Asylzhan Bakhytzhanuly64%
Damian Grabowski 36%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Asylzhan Bakhytzhanuly a 64% favorite over Damian Grabowski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1686 vs 1682), separated by just 4 points.

Asylzhan Bakhytzhanuly enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Damian Grabowski enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Asylzhan Bakhytzhanuly finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Damian Grabowski 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.