Combat Edge Intelligence

Asylzhan Bakhytzhanuly vs Semmy Schilt

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-7-0Record26-14-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'11"
TBDReachTBD
207 lbsWeight256 lbs
Alash PrideTeamGolden Glory

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Asylzhan BakhytzhanulyNow 1681
If they win+12→ 1693
If they lose-12→ 1669
Semmy SchiltNow 1682
If they win+12→ 1694
If they lose-12→ 1670

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1633 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1592 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.48
TBD
Strike accuracy
59%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.60
TBD
Strike defense
54%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
47%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Asylzhan BakhytzhanulySemmy Schilt
1650170020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (53%)
KO/TKO
15 (58%)
1 (5%)
Submission
9 (35%)
8 (42%)
Decision
2 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Asylzhan Bakhytzhanuly66%
Semmy Schilt 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Asylzhan Bakhytzhanuly a 66% favorite over Semmy Schilt in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Semmy Schilt's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1681 vs 1682), separated by just 1 points.

Asylzhan Bakhytzhanuly enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Semmy Schilt enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Asylzhan Bakhytzhanuly finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Semmy Schilt 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.