Combat Edge Intelligence

Ata Atdayev vs David Dvořák

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-0-0Record20-6-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'5"
-Reach68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Kharkov Top TeamTeamAll Sports Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ata AtdayevNow 1659
If they win+24→ 1683
If they lose-24→ 1635
David DvořákNow 1659
If they win+16→ 1675
If they lose-16→ 1643

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1519 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.48
TBD
Strike accuracy
43%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.29
TBD
Strike defense
60%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.58
TBD
Takedown accuracy
30%
TBD
Takedown defense
70%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.19

Trajectory

Ata AtdayevDavid Dvořák
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (29%)
KO/TKO
8 (40%)
2 (29%)
Submission
8 (40%)
3 (43%)
Decision
4 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Ata Atdayev73%
David Dvořák 27%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ata Atdayev a 73% favorite over David Dvořák in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1659 vs 1659), separated by just 0 points.

Ata Atdayev enters on a 7-fight win streak.

David Dvořák enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Ata Atdayev finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, David Dvořák 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.