Ata Atdayev vs Jesus Aguilar
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
8-0-0Record12-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'3"
-Reach62"
125 lbsWeight128 lbs
Kharkov Top TeamTeamVictory Fight Club· 1683 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1707
If they lose-24→ 1659
If they win+16→ 1702
If they lose-16→ 1670
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1527 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1651 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ata AtdayevJesus Aguilar
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ata Atdayev56%
Jesus Aguilar 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ata Atdayev a 56% favorite over Jesus Aguilar in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jesus Aguilar's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1683 vs 1686), separated by just 3 points.
Ata Atdayev enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Ata Atdayev finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Jesus Aguilar 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.