Combat Edge Intelligence

Ata Atdayev vs Rogério Bontorin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-0-0Record17-5-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'5"
-Reach67"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Kharkov Top TeamTeamGile Ribeiro Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ata AtdayevNow 1659
If they win+24→ 1683
If they lose-24→ 1635
Rogério BontorinNow 1663
If they win+16→ 1679
If they lose-16→ 1647

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1518 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1632 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.63
TBD
Strike accuracy
53%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.27
TBD
Strike defense
50%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.90
TBD
Takedown accuracy
60%
TBD
Takedown defense
52%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.97

Trajectory

Ata AtdayevRogério Bontorin
1650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (29%)
KO/TKO
3 (18%)
2 (29%)
Submission
11 (65%)
3 (43%)
Decision
3 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Ata Atdayev63%
Rogério Bontorin 37%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Ata Atdayev a 63% favorite over Rogério Bontorin in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rogério Bontorin's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1659 vs 1663), separated by just 4 points.

Ata Atdayev enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Ata Atdayev finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Rogério Bontorin 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.