Ateba Gautier vs Makhmud Muradov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-1-0Record28-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'2"
81"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Manchester Top TeamTeamAnkos MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1737
If they lose-16→ 1705
If they win+12→ 1735
If they lose-12→ 1711
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1626 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ateba GautierMakhmud Muradov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ateba Gautier67%
Makhmud Muradov 33%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ateba Gautier a 67% favorite over Makhmud Muradov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Makhmud Muradov's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1721 vs 1723), separated by just 2 points.
Ateba Gautier enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Makhmud Muradov enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Ateba Gautier finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Makhmud Muradov 75%.
Ateba Gautier carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.