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Combat Edge Intelligence

Augustine Hahn vs Hermes Franca

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

2-0-0Record26-20-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'6"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Start BJJ· 1590 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamVictory MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Augustine HahnNow 1554
If they win+24→ 1578
If they lose-24→ 1530
Hermes FrancaNow 1552
If they win+12→ 1564
If they lose-12→ 1540

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1526 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
1.78
Not available
Strike accuracy
40%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.85
Not available
Strike defense
55%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.53
Not available
Takedown accuracy
36%
Not available
Takedown defense
38%
Not available
Submission avg.
2.38

Trajectory

Augustine HahnHermes Franca
15501600201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
8 (31%)
0 (0%)
Submission
15 (58%)
1 (50%)
Decision
3 (12%)

Combat Edge model read

Augustine Hahn65%
Hermes Franca 35%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Augustine Hahn a 65% favorite over Hermes Franca in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1554 vs 1552), separated by just 2 points.

Augustine Hahn enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Hermes Franca enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Hermes Franca 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.