Combat Edge Intelligence

Augusto Mendes vs Tomáš Deák

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-3-0Record25-15-1
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'4"
36,0"Reach65.7"
135 lbsWeight137 lbs
Soul Fighters BJJTeamOctagon Fighting Academy· 1591 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Augusto MendesNow 1565
If they win+24→ 1589
If they lose-24→ 1541
Tomáš DeákNow 1565
If they win+12→ 1577
If they lose-12→ 1553

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1555 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.42
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
35%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
56%
Strike defense
TBD
1.75
Takedown avg.
TBD
33%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
80%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Augusto MendesTomáš Deák
15501600201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (17%)
KO/TKO
6 (24%)
4 (67%)
Submission
11 (44%)
1 (17%)
Decision
8 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

Tomáš Deák78%
Augusto Mendes 22%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tomáš Deák a 78% favorite over Augusto Mendes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Augusto Mendes's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1565 vs 1565), separated by just 0 points.

Augusto Mendes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Augusto Mendes finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Tomáš Deák 68%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.