Augusto Montano vs Belal Muhammad
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-3-0Record24-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'10"
73,0"Reach72''
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Bonebreakers MMA· 1618 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamRoufusport· 1700 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
Belal Muhammad is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Augusto Montano carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1673
If they lose-9→ 1641
If they win+7→ 1812
If they lose-17→ 1788
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1552 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1769 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Augusto MontanoBelal Muhammad
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Belal Muhammad84%
Augusto Montano 16%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes Belal Muhammad a 84% favorite over Augusto Montano in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
Belal Muhammad holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1805 to 1650, a 155-point edge.
Augusto Montano enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Belal Muhammad enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Augusto Montano finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Belal Muhammad 25%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.