Combat Edge Intelligence

Augusto Montano vs Cathal Pendred

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-3-0Record17-4-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'1"
73,0"Reach75,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Bonebreakers MMATeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

Cathal Pendred is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Augusto Montano carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Augusto MontanoNow 1650
If they win+18→ 1668
If they lose-14→ 1636
Cathal PendredNow 1693
If they win+14→ 1707
If they lose-18→ 1675

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1552 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1618 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.46
Sig. strikes / min
2.49
46%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.01
57%
Strike defense
56%
0
Takedown avg.
2.46
TBD
Takedown accuracy
24%
67%
Takedown defense
83%
0
Submission avg.
0.41

Trajectory

Augusto MontanoCathal Pendred
1650170017502013201420152016

Win method breakdown

10 (67%)
KO/TKO
6 (35%)
5 (33%)
Submission
1 (6%)
0 (0%)
Decision
10 (59%)

Combat Edge model read

Cathal Pendred63%
Augusto Montano 37%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Cathal Pendred a 63% favorite over Augusto Montano in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Cathal Pendred holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1693 to 1650, a 43-point edge.

Augusto Montano enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Cathal Pendred enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Augusto Montano finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Cathal Pendred 41%.

Cathal Pendred carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.