Augusto Montano vs Chris Heatherly
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-3-0Record9-4-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'8"
73,0"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight180 lbs
Bonebreakers MMA· 1626 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamFit or Fight
What's at stake
Augusto Montano is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Chris Heatherly carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1664
If they lose-18→ 1632
If they win+18→ 1622
If they lose-14→ 1590
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1552 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Augusto MontanoChris Heatherly
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Heatherly51%
Augusto Montano 49%Elo baseline: 43%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Heatherly a 51% favorite over Augusto Montano in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Augusto Montano's way (43%).
Augusto Montano holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1650 to 1604, a 46-point edge.
Augusto Montano enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Augusto Montano finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Chris Heatherly 56%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.