Combat Edge Intelligence

Augusto Montano vs Chris Heatherly

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-3-0Record9-4-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'8"
73,0"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight180 lbs
Bonebreakers MMATeamFit or Fight

What's at stake

Augusto Montano is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Chris Heatherly carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Augusto MontanoNow 1650
If they win+14→ 1664
If they lose-18→ 1632
Chris HeatherlyNow 1604
If they win+18→ 1622
If they lose-14→ 1590

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1552 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.46
Sig. strikes / min
1.68
46%
Strike accuracy
48%
2.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.27
57%
Strike defense
52%
0
Takedown avg.
4.21
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
67%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Augusto MontanoChris Heatherly
160016501700201420152016

Win method breakdown

10 (67%)
KO/TKO
1 (11%)
5 (33%)
Submission
4 (44%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Augusto Montano57%
Chris Heatherly 43%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Augusto Montano a 57% favorite over Chris Heatherly in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Augusto Montano holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1650 to 1604, a 46-point edge.

Augusto Montano enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Augusto Montano finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Chris Heatherly 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.