Augusto Sakai vs Blagoy Ivanov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-8-1Record19-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height5'11"
77"Reach73"
264 lbsWeight258 lbs
American Top TeamTeamSK Absolute Bulgaria
What's at stake
Blagoy Ivanov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Augusto Sakai carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1636
If they lose-13→ 1604
If they win+13→ 1696
If they lose-19→ 1664
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1679 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1689 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Augusto SakaiBlagoy Ivanov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Augusto Sakai and Blagoy Ivanov within a point of even.
Blagoy Ivanov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1683 to 1617, a 66-point edge.
Augusto Sakai enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Blagoy Ivanov enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Augusto Sakai finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Blagoy Ivanov 63%.
Augusto Sakai and Blagoy Ivanov share 1 common opponent: Tai Tuivasa.
Augusto Sakai carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.