Combat Edge Intelligence

Augusto Sakai vs Blagoy Ivanov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-6-1Record19-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height5'11"
77"Reach73"
264 lbsWeight258 lbs
American Top TeamTeamSK Absolute Bulgaria

What's at stake

Blagoy Ivanov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Augusto Sakai carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Augusto SakaiNow 1634
If they win+18→ 1652
If they lose-14→ 1620
Blagoy IvanovNow 1682
If they win+14→ 1696
If they lose-18→ 1664

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1689 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1688 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.60
Sig. strikes / min
3.25
49%
Strike accuracy
41%
3.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.20
49%
Strike defense
53%
0.23
Takedown avg.
0.69
40%
Takedown accuracy
40%
56%
Takedown defense
62%
0
Submission avg.
0.12

Trajectory

Augusto SakaiBlagoy Ivanov
165017001750202220232024

Win method breakdown

11 (69%)
KO/TKO
6 (32%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (32%)
5 (31%)
Decision
7 (37%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Augusto Sakai and Blagoy Ivanov within a point of even.

Blagoy Ivanov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1682 to 1634, a 48-point edge.

Augusto Sakai enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Blagoy Ivanov enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Augusto Sakai finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Blagoy Ivanov 63%.

Augusto Sakai and Blagoy Ivanov share 2 common opponents: Tai Tuivasa and Marcin Tybura.

Augusto Sakai carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

WinKO · 2019
Marcin Tybura
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2023
LossKO · 2021
Tai Tuivasa
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2019