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Combat Edge Intelligence

Augusto Sakai vs Carlos Felipe

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

17-8-1Record12-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'0"
77"Reach75,0"
264 lbsWeight245 lbs
American Top TeamTeamLife MMA· 1594 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Augusto SakaiNow 1617
If they win+16→ 1633
If they lose-16→ 1601
Carlos FelipeNow 1616
If they win+16→ 1632
If they lose-16→ 1600

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1679 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1615 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.60
Sig. strikes / min
4.88
49%
Strike accuracy
46%
3.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.60
49%
Strike defense
51%
0.23
Takedown avg.
0
20%
Takedown accuracy
0%
56%
Takedown defense
73%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Augusto SakaiCarlos Felipe
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (65%)
KO/TKO
6 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
6 (35%)
Decision
6 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Augusto Sakai60%
Carlos Felipe 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Augusto Sakai a 60% favorite over Carlos Felipe in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1617 vs 1616), separated by just 1 points.

Augusto Sakai enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Augusto Sakai finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Carlos Felipe 50%.

Augusto Sakai carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.