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Combat Edge Intelligence

Augusto Sakai vs Don'Tale Mayes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Tale of the tape

17-8-1Record11-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'6"
77"Reach81"
264 lbsWeight264 lbs
American Top TeamTeamBronx Hill MMA

What's at stake

Augusto Sakai is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Don'Tale Mayes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Augusto SakaiNow 1617
If they win+14→ 1631
If they lose-18→ 1599
Don'Tale MayesNow 1576
If they win+18→ 1594
If they lose-14→ 1562

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1679 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.60
Sig. strikes / min
3.22
49%
Strike accuracy
43%
3.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.61
49%
Strike defense
47%
0.23
Takedown avg.
0.59
20%
Takedown accuracy
0%
56%
Takedown defense
47%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Augusto SakaiDon'Tale Mayes
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (65%)
KO/TKO
6 (55%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (9%)
6 (35%)
Decision
4 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Augusto Sakai65%
Don'Tale Mayes 35%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Augusto Sakai a 65% favorite over Don'Tale Mayes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Augusto Sakai holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1617 to 1576, a 41-point edge.

Augusto Sakai enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Don'Tale Mayes enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Augusto Sakai finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Don'Tale Mayes 64%.

Don'Tale Mayes carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.