Augusto Sakai vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-8-1Record15-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
77"Reach 78"
264 lbsWeight259 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Jairzinho Rozenstruik is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Augusto Sakai carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1637
If they lose-12→ 1605
If they win+12→ 1716
If they lose-20→ 1684
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1679 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1727 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Augusto SakaiJairzinho Rozenstruik
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jairzinho Rozenstruik55%
Augusto Sakai 45%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Jairzinho Rozenstruik a 55% favorite over Augusto Sakai in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Jairzinho Rozenstruik holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1704 to 1617, a 87-point edge.
Augusto Sakai enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Augusto Sakai finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Jairzinho Rozenstruik 87%.
Augusto Sakai and Jairzinho Rozenstruik share 1 common opponent: Tai Tuivasa.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.