Augusto Sakai vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-6-1Record15-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
77"Reach 78"
264 lbsWeight259 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Jairzinho Rozenstruik is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Augusto Sakai carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1653
If they lose-13→ 1621
If they win+13→ 1716
If they lose-19→ 1684
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1689 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1726 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Augusto SakaiJairzinho Rozenstruik
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jairzinho Rozenstruik70%
Augusto Sakai 30%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Jairzinho Rozenstruik a 70% favorite over Augusto Sakai in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Jairzinho Rozenstruik holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1703 to 1634, a 69-point edge.
Augusto Sakai enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Augusto Sakai finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Jairzinho Rozenstruik 87%.
Augusto Sakai and Jairzinho Rozenstruik share 1 common opponent: Tai Tuivasa.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.